Futures: Trump Cuts China Tariff, Touts Rare Earth Deal

Key Highlights

  • President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping met at the APEC meeting in South Korea.
  • A tariff on fentanyl from China was halved to 10%, while other tariffs remain.
  • China agreed to resume soybean purchases immediately and not impose rare earth controls for a year.
  • Microsoft, Meta, and Google reported strong earnings, guiding to robust capital spending in the future.

The Trump-Xi Trade Deal: A New Chapter in U.S.-China Relations

On October 30, 2025, President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping reached a significant trade truce at the APEC meeting in South Korea. The meeting lasted nearly two hours and was hailed by Trump as “amazing, outstanding.” This development comes after months of negotiations aimed at easing tensions between the world’s two largest economies.

Tariff Reductions and Soybean Purchases

According to Trump, a key outcome of the meeting is that the fentanyl tariff on Chinese goods will be reduced from an unspecified initial level to 10% immediately. However, many other tariffs are expected to remain in place. Additionally, China has agreed to resume soybean purchases right away and not impose rare earth controls for one year.

Positive Reactions from Major Tech Companies

The announcement was welcomed by major tech companies that have been closely watching the trade developments. Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), and Google’s parent company Alphabet (GOOGL) all reported strong earnings in their September quarter, with robust guidance for future capital spending. These positive financial performances were seen as a sign of improved business conditions following the trade truce.

Market Reaction

In response to these developments, Dow Jones futures fell slightly on Thursday morning, along with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures. However, the market’s overall reaction was cautiously optimistic. The Federal Reserve cut rates as expected but signaled that a December rate cut is not yet certain. Despite some short-term volatility, major tech stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and Google continued to perform well, marking significant milestones such as Nvidia surpassing the $5 trillion mark in market capitalization.

Future Outlook

Both Trump and Xi expressed optimism about a potential China trade deal being signed very soon. Trump also hinted that he plans to visit China in April 2026, further cementing efforts towards normalizing U.S.-China relations. Analysts are closely watching these developments as they could have significant implications for global economic stability and market performance.

For investors, the key takeaway is that while short-term fluctuations remain possible, a sustained resolution to trade tensions could lead to more favorable conditions for both tech companies and broader markets in the long term. As always, staying informed about these developments will be crucial for making well-informed investment decisions.